Why America's Nuclear Deterrence Strategy Needs to Change
Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Vipin Narang, a former Acting Assistant Secretary of Defense for Space Policy, a portfolio which includes U.S nuclear weapons employment strategy, about why we are now entering the New Nuclear Age and the urgent changes that the United States has to make to its nuclear deterrence posture and strategy. They also debate the utility of counterforce vs countervalue nuclear targeting approaches and how believable the U.S. extended nuclear deterrence is to allies.
00:00 Introduction
00:57 Israel-Iran War
11:47 CAT5 Hurricane of Nuclear Threats
13:50 Is China Preparing to Fight a Nuclear War?
18:04 Debating Counterforce vs. Countervalue Nuclear Targeting Strategies
24:32 Is Nuclear Extended Deterrence Believable to Allies?
40:02 Is Pakistan Building ICBMs to Target the United States?
42:44 Does America Need Mobile ICBM Launchers?
How to Survive the New Nuclear Age by Vipin Narang and Pranay Vaddi: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/how-survive-new-nuclear-age-narang-vaddi
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Assessing the Damage to Iran’s Nuclear Program
Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Dr. Jeffrey Lewis, a nuclear nonproliferation expert, to assess the damage that has been inflicted upon the Iranian nuclear program over the course of the past 11 days and potential for reconstitution.
00:00 Introduction
00:49 Assessment of Damage to Each Part of the Iranian Nuclear Program
07:34 What is the Level of Difficulty of Reconstitution?
09:53 Did Iran Evacuate Fordow?
11:55 The Importance of the 400kg of Highly Enriched Uranium issue
12:49 Where Is the New Secret Enrichment Facility?
13:58 What Are the Nonproliferation Lessons From This War?
16:26 Impact of the Assassinations of Nuclear Scientists
18:16 Capabilities of Iran's Ballistic Missiles
20:27 Origins of Iran's Nuclear Weapons Designs
22:46 Is There a Legitimate Need for Iran to Have Uranium Enrichment?
24:45 Was The War Worth It?
32:31 What Will Iran Do Next?
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The Israel-Iran War: Possibilities and the Dangers of Overreach
Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Israeli Gen Amos Yadlin (Ret.), perhaps the world's only person who has participated in the destruction of three Middle Eastern nuclear weapons programs: first, as an F-16 pilot in 1981 against Iraqi nuclear reactor at Osirak, as Head of Military Intelligence in 2007 against Syrian nuclear reactor Al Kibar, and in various IDF roles for the last nearly 20 years planning the current operation against Iran.
00:00 Introduction
01:29 Strategic Objectives of the Operation Against Iran
07:30 How to Deal With Fordow Enrichment Facility
08:16 Shocking Success
11:20 Danger of Euphoria
14:08 Where Are the Iranian Proxies?
15:40 Threat to the Strait of Hormuz
18:00 Khamenei's Psychological State and Strategic Decisions
20:56 Likelihood of Regime Change
23:38 Implications for the Broader Middle East
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Why North Korea Is Planning a Second Korean War and How to Stop It
Dmitri Alperovitch sits down with Andrei Lankov, one of the west’s foremost experts on North Korea, and Sergey Radchenko, a leading Cold War historian, for a deep dive into North Korea. They discuss the threats posed by North Korea's nuclear program and possibility of a new war, the chances of a Trump-brokered peace deal with Kim Jong Un, and the nature of North Korea’s relationships with China, Russia, and Iran. Andrei also offers rare insights into daily life under the regime, its surveillance state, hackers and IT workers, political succession, and long-term foreign policy ambitions.
00:00 Introduction
01:02 Can Trump Get a Peace Deal Done With North Korea?
15:19 Does Kim Jong Un Need America as an Enemy?
18:36 Chances of a Second Korean War and Nuclear Weapons Use
22:58 China's Frustrations With North Korea
27:17 China's Concerns of Nuclear Proliferation Across Asia
29:49 Nature of Transactional Relationships Between North Korea and China/Russia
35:28 Iran-North Korea Relationship
40:16 Why Do North Korean Soldiers Commit Suicide Rather Than Surrender?
44:52 Life in North Korean GULAGs
47:04 The Intricacies of Societal Surveillance in North Korea
51:21 Technology Use and Intranet Access in North Korea
54:24 North Korean Hackers and IT Workers
01:02:40 Female Empowerment in North Korea
01:15:21 Does North Korea Have the World's Most Effective Foreign Policy?
Dmitri and Sergey's NYT article about the potential for a peace deal with North Korea: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/29/opinion/us-north-korea-china-russia-axis.html
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The One Factor That Could Crash the Russian Economy
Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Russian economy expert Chris Weafer about the state of the Russian economy in 2025. They talk about inflation and its impact on people and business, why the ruble is collapsing, which sanctions have been the most impactful, and the one thing that could potentially trigger a crash and give Ukraine leverage to negotiate an acceptable peace deal
Geopolitics Decanted is a podcast featuring geopolitical analysis and in-depth expert interviews on topics ranging from War in Ukraine, Great Power Competition with China, changing nature of warfare, sanctions and export controls, semiconductors and cybersecurity. This is a podcast for people who care about the details and are seeking a comprehensive understanding of global issues, not just the sound bytes.
It is hosted by Dmitri Alperovitch, Chairman of Silverado Policy Accelerator (www.silverado.org), a Washington DC-based non-profit with a mission to promote prosperity and global competitiveness for America and its allies by accelerating bipartisan strategic, economic and technological policy solutions.
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